Joe Flacco Super Bowl Prop BetsBy Daniel J.
Colin Kaepernick is expected to become the most bet-on player in terms of prop betting in Super Bowl history, but he’s not the only big-time quarterback on the NFL’s and sports’ biggest stage this Sunday. With his impressive play so far this postseason – eight touchdowns and zero interceptions in three games – Joe Flacco deserves some of your attention.
Bovada.lv and many sportsbooks like it are giving Flacco plenty. He has 17 individual prop bets devoted to him this weekend, the most of any player – besides Kaepernick of course, who has 19. With so many bets to choose from, you likely won’t be able to partake in all of them, so we’re here to help you. Here’s a few of the best of the bunch and the winning picks to go along with them.
Total Rushing Yards – Over 2.5 -150, Under 2.5 +120
Now, this probably seems downright insulting to a prideful guy with Flacco because there’s a lot of folks out there who think he won’t rush for more than two and a half yards. However, he averaged only 2.1 yards rushing per game this season, so this is where the line comes from. It’s not that Flacco can’t run with the ball. We know he is physically capable of picking up yards on the ground, but the fact is he usually doesn’t have to. And against a team like the Niners, he won’t be able to scramble too much. He may run a couple of sneaks, but may not gain over a yard or two. That’s why I actually like the Under here at +120. It’s a higher value bet and trust me, with the Niners up on the line looking to stop Ray Rice, Flacco’s only option will be to throw the ball like usual. Don’t expect him to run much if at all in this game.
Total Passing Yards – Over 250.5 -135, Under 250.5 +105
Flacco has straight torn it up through the air so far this postseason, throwing for 853 yards and eight touchdowns in just three games. Of course, that’s well over 250 yards per game, but we have to take into account the defense he will be up against this Sunday. The 49ers are ranked fourth in the league against the pass during the regular season, allowing just 200.2 yards per game. Knowing this and seeing the odds, most bettors will probably take the under, however, I like the Over here at -135. The reason why is because the 49ers will likely be focused on stopping the run, which they are also good at (4th in the league as well), and this should open up passing lanes for Flacco. Also, he should get more passing attempts considering the Ravens will likely be trailing during most of the game. Look for Flacco to go over 250 yards, as he has all postseason.
MVP Odds – 11/4
I know I just said the Ravens will likely be trailing for the majority of the game, which means they will most likely lose. However, they are not a huge underdog at just four points. And if you check out 3 Keys to a Ravens Victory post, you will see that a win for Baltimore is very possible. With this in mind, taking Flacco to win the MVP at 11/4 is a very good bet, considering that if the Ravens do pull it out, he will likely get most of the credit, as QBs usually do. Kaepernick is the overall favorite in this category at 8/5, but obviously he can’t win if the Niners don’t. If you like the Ravens and think they can win it all, then take this bet at 11/4. You don’t have a lot to lose, but you do have a lot to gain.