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Pats-Bills Headlines Week 10 in AFC East

Sunday sees New England return to action following a bye last weekend, something that fans and bettors alike will be glad to see.

Currently second favorites (behind Houston) to lift the Vince Lombardi trophy, the Patriots will take on divisional rivals Buffalo, looking to continue a lengthy streak of dominance and move to 3-0 in divisional games.

Elsewhere in the AFC East, Miami welcomes Tennessee while the New York Jets take a long cross-country journey to take on Seattle in one of the loudest stadiums in the league.

Buffalo Bills (3-5) at New England Patriots (5-3)

Sunday 1 PM ET

With jetlag behind them, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will look to lay another beating on the Buffalo Bills.

After laying waste to the St. Louis Rams in London two weeks ago, New England (5-3, 2-1 home) has had a bye week to rest, recuperate and prepare for the second half of the season. That’s bad news for Buffalo (3-5, 2-3 road).

The Bills have lost four of the last five, and have looked like a team destined to struggle for the remainder of the season. It doesn’t help that the team has a woeful record against the Patriots over the recent past.

Buffalo has won just one game against the Patriots in its last 17 attempts. In fact, the Bills have won just three times since the turn of the Millennium. That’s a span of 25 games. What’s more, the Bills have not won in New England since November 2000.

Unsurprisingly, bookmakers and bettors alike are backing the Patriots hard. After opening as 9½-point favorites, New England is now considered 13-point favorites. The Patriots have fared reasonably against the spread, going 5-3 ATS. Buffalo meanwhile has struggled to a 3-5 ATS record.

The over/under has risen from 51½ to 53½. The Patriots have seen the total go over six times this season, while the total has gone over in five Bills games. When these two sides met in September, New England topped the half-century mark, running out 52-28 winners. Four of the last five meetings between these sides have eclipsed this afternoon’s total mark, making the over a smart bet.

Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-4)

Sunday 1 PM ET

Last week’s three-point loss to Indianapolis returned an overachieving Miami (4-4, 2-1 home) to a .500 record. This week the Dolphins will be looking to take advantage of a home game against Tennessee (3-6, 1-3 road), one of the weakest sides in the league.

Miami is 0-2 against the AFC South this season, but both of those losses came away from South Florida. Home games against Tennessee and Jacksonville could even that record out.

Tennessee had a short spell of success on the back of some good performances by Chris Johnson, but the Dolphins are hardy against the run. With Miami ranking third in the league at stopping the run, the Titans may think about passing the ball, which just happens to be a weakness for the Florida side.

After a rocky start to the season, Ryan Tannehill has started to settle in behind center and will look to guide the favored Dolphins to victory.

Miami opened as 4½-point favorites, and are now considered six-point favorites. That being said, Miami has tended to play it close this season, and has recorded a 4-3-1 ATS record. Five of Miami’s eight games this season have been decided by four points or less. Meanwhile, Tennessee is 3-6 ATS this season.

The over/under is 45. Thanks to its porous defense, Tennessee has seen the total go over in six games this season. However, only two Miami games have exceeded the 45 marker this season, and they both came at the beginning of the season, so bettors should be wary here.

New York Jets (3-5) at Seattle Seahawks (5-4)

Sunday 4:05 PM ET

With the Jets spluttering this season, Rex Ryan could see quarterback controversy rear its ugly head if New York is unsuccessful against Seattle.

Closing out play in the AFC East this weekend will be the New York Jets (3-5, 1-2 road), who make thenear-3,000 mile journey to the Pacific Northwest and a showdown with Seattle (5-4, 4-0 home).

The Jets will be hoping that an extra week off – following a poor performance against divisional rival Miami – will spark a change in fortune. Losers of four of the last five, the Jets look like they could head into a final tailspin at any moment. Anything less than a win in Seattle will essentially mark the end of any realistic chances of making it to the postseason.

Beating the Seahawks could be easier said than done for the Jets. Seattle is undefeated at home, having knocked off Dallas, Green Bay, New England and Minnesota. That’s quite the list to be working from.

Seattle defeated the Jets 13-3 the last time the two sides met (2008). That win broke a five-game New York winning streak, and an 8-1 streak overall.

New York enters the game as six-point underdogs having seen the spread climb one-half point. The Seahawks are 6-3 ATS this season while the Jets are 4-3-1.

The over/under is 38 ½-points, a relatively low total to be aiming for. That being said, the total has gone under in six Seahawks games this year, as well as four Jets games which might make betting on the under a sensible choice. However, only one Jets game hasn’t topped that number this season, while three of the last four Seahawks games have gone well over that marker.

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