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Pick Six Wins Super Bowls

As Super Bowl XLIX approaches bettors are perusing the trends, head-to-head stats and more to find the best edge before deciding on what team to pick to win the big game.

For some, the sure winner for the Super Bowl is a pick six. Teams that have returned interceptions in the Super Bowl for a touchdown are an amazing 12-0 SU in the big game.

Return a pick for six, win Super Bowl, it is as simple and easy as that.

Of course, every football team wants a touchdown on a return. However, in the Super Bowl the interception return resulting in a touchdown has greater impact that other returns resulting in 6 points.

Teams that have run fumbles back for touchdowns at the Super Bowl are just 2-2. Teams with a kickoff return for a TD are 4-6.

Therefore, it is easy to see that the pick six is what rules at the Super Bowl.

One reason for that is the impact of seeing a pick-six on both sides of the sideline is quite dramatic. Another is that a quarterback, no matter how talented and confident is hit hard when a defense takes a pass interception of his back for six points. He loses some confidence or his own teams start to doubt him.

Fumbles returned for touchdowns impact the defense in a positive way, but all NFL players know that it is all about being lucky to be at the right place at the right time and all about chance.

A touchdown on a kickoff return is also dramatic, but they involve the special teams for both sides and not the offense and defensive units of both teams.

In a pick-six versus a kick six test, Pick-six trumped the kick six in the Super Bowl between Tampa Bay and Oakland. The Raiders scored on a blocked punt return, but the Buccaneers had three pick-sixes on the day.

Peyton Manning won the Super Bowl the first time he played, but in two subsequent Super Bowl losses, he tossed a pick six in each one.

Super Bowl XXXV was a tight game through the first half. However, early into the third quarter, Baltimore intercepted New York’s Kerry Collins for a pick-six and the Giants were then routed by the Ravens 34-7.

Since Russell Wilson started his NFL career in 2012, he has tossed just one pick-six. Over that same amount of time, Tom Brady has thrown just two.

Thus far, to this point of the season, the defense for Seattle has three pick-sixes, while New England’s has none.

In Super Bowl XLIX, if a team intercepts and returns if for a touchdown, you can be confident they will turn out the winners. However, if the pick-six does not win the Super Bowl, do not blame this writer.

 

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