Dec 8, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; A Cleveland Browns helmet sits on the sidelines during the fourth quarter of New England's 27-26 win at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports
Home » Blog » NFL Week 12 2022: A case for each underdog

NFL Week 12 2022: A case for each underdog

Looking at the NFL Week 12 lines, here’s how each underdog can cover the numbers in their games, along with some winning outright.

Buffalo Bills (-9.5) at Detroit Lions

The Lions can score, and the Bills’ defense is both beat-up and not playing well. This is about getting somewhere around 24-27 points.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-9.5)

Too big of a line. New York will cover if it runs the ball effectively and doesn’t create long down-and-distances for Daniel Jones against Dallas’ front.

New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5)

Bill Belichick against Kirk Cousins. In primetime.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) at Cleveland Browns

The Bucs have struggled to score points all season. If Jacoby Brissett can make a few plays and Nick Chubb runs effectively, Cleveland has a chance at the upset.

Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) at Tennessee Titans

Tennessee remains underrated. The Titans are coming off a mini-bye and have the better record. The Titans are also at home.


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Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (-13)

This is about trying to cover. Houston has to run with Dameon Pierce, create a turnover or two and shorten the game. Otherwise, blowout city.

Chicago Bears at New York Jets (-4.5)

This largely depends on Justin Fields. If he doesn’t play, stay far away.

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders (-4)

The Falcons aren’t good, but they’ve stayed in almost every game this year. This is about Atlanta’s defense limiting Terry McLaurin downfield.

Denver Broncos (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers

Just take the points. Both these teams should be brought up on charges.

Baltimore Ravens (-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are coming off a bye, and the Ravens have struggled many weeks to finish off games. Jacksonville can absolutely cover, even if it’s back-door.

Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are 4-7 and in a must-win situation at home. Los Angeles is more talented, but also incredibly mercurial.


Read: Jimmy Garoppolo – Playmakers Make My Life Easier


Las Vegas Raiders at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

Can Derek Carr make enough plays with his arm to hide the Raiders’ defense? He’ll need to against a Seattle defense which is improving by the week.

Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (-14.5)

Another game about covering the number. Los Angeles would need a miracle to win, but can it score 20 points against an average Kansas City defense?

New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)

The Saints have talent, and they have the defenders to harass Jimmy Garoppolo. That’s the formula for creating mistakes and staying in the contest.

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7)

Aaron Rodgers needs to be a part of the offense, not its epicenter. Aaron Jones has to gash Philadelphia, keeping the Eagles’ potent attack off the field.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

Kenny Pickett needs to make a few splash plays but more importantly, avoid the big errors.

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